Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 26
Orvieto WHOME · -
41 : 692015.03.29 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
Orvieto WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
129.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orvieto W
L · 82-70L · 64-55L · 48-83W · 70-72W · 73-68
Umbertide W
W · 75-58L · 67-30W · 80-69W · 57-79W · 78-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.29 | Orvieto W | 41 : 69 | Umbertide W |
| 2014.12.21 | Umbertide W | 72 : 59 | Orvieto W |