Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 25
Umbertide WHOME · -
75 : 582015.03.26 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEB
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.33
127.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
129.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 67-30W · 80-69W · 57-79W · 78-68W · 71-54
Lucca W
W · 75-55L · 66-61W · 79-58W · 92-62L · 67-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.26 | Umbertide W | 75 : 58 | Lucca W |
| 2014.12.15 | Lucca W | 63 : 57 | Umbertide W |
| 2010.11.08 | Lucca W | 32 : 51 | Umbertide W |