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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 23
Dike Napoli WHOME · -
71 : 492015.03.16 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.9%
VALUE EDGE+71.9%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Dike Napoli WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
109.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dike Napoli W
W · 28-69W · 58-51W · 53-43W · 64-66L · 58-61
Vigarano W
L · 70-72L · 78-68L · 79-58L · 69-75W · 58-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.16Dike Napoli W71 : 49Vigarano W
2014.12.01Vigarano W75 : 59Dike Napoli W