Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 23

Umbertide WHOME · -

80 : 692015.03.16 · 종료

Parma WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +80.5%

VALUE EDGE+80.5%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEA

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsParma W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -9.25

127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.92

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

80.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

W · 57-79W · 78-68W · 71-54W · 59-65L · 64-66

Parma W

L · 89-57L · 61-72L · 69-54W · 77-60L · 80-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.03.16	Umbertide W	80 : 69	Parma W
2014.12.01	Parma W	58 : 72	Umbertide W
2011.02.07	Umbertide W	62 : 41	Parma W
2010.11.22	Parma W	67 : 78	Umbertide W