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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 23
Cagliari WHOME · -
58 : 622015.03.15 · 종료
Ragusa WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsRagusa W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-5.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.17
126.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.33
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
20.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
79.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
L · 75-55W · 105-67L · 56-79L · 71-54W · 69-54
Ragusa W
W · 47-39L · 58-51W · 67-51L · 58-56W · 80-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.15Cagliari W58 : 62Ragusa W
2014.12.01Ragusa W72 : 63Cagliari W