Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 22
Vigarano WHOME · -
70 : 722015.03.09 · 종료
Orvieto WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.1%
VALUE EDGE+73.1%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsOrvieto W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
L · 78-68L · 79-58L · 69-75W · 58-56W · 80-70
Orvieto W
W · 73-68L · 58-72L · 53-43L · 59-75L · 66-50
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.09 | Vigarano W | 70 : 72 | Orvieto W |
| 2014.11.24 | Orvieto W | 59 : 63 | Vigarano W |