Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 21
San Martino WHOME · -
66 : 612015.03.02 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEB
San Martino WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.33
137.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
129.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martino W
W · 56-82W · 58-72L · 59-65W · 78-61W · 58-61
Lucca W
W · 79-58W · 92-62L · 67-51L · 72-69W · 66-50
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.02 | San Martino W | 66 : 61 | Lucca W |
| 2014.11.17 | Lucca W | 58 : 60 | San Martino W |