Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 21

Umbertide WHOME · -

78 : 682015.03.02 · 종료

Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.2%

VALUE EDGE+72.2%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADEA

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

W · 71-54W · 59-65L · 64-66L · 75-62W · 58-71

Vigarano W

L · 79-58L · 69-75W · 58-56W · 80-70W · 82-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.03	Umbertide W	78 : 72	Vigarano W
2022.12.18	Vigarano W	58 : 61	Umbertide W
2022.03.10	Vigarano W	66 : 56	Umbertide W
2021.10.11	Umbertide W	80 : 62	Vigarano W
2015.03.02	Umbertide W	78 : 68	Vigarano W
2014.11.17	Vigarano W	50 : 63	Umbertide W