Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 18
San Martino WHOME · -
59 : 652015.02.01 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEB
San Martino WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
137.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martino W
W · 78-61W · 58-61W · 80-77W · 85-61L · 67-60
Umbertide W
L · 64-66L · 75-62W · 58-71W · 72-59L · 63-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.01 | San Martino W | 59 : 65 | Umbertide W |
| 2014.10.27 | Umbertide W | 66 : 71 | San Martino W |