Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 17
Umbertide WHOME · -
64 : 662015.01.26 · 종료
Dike Napoli WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.5%
VALUE EDGE+58.5%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsDike Napoli W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.00
127.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
108.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 75-62W · 58-71W · 72-59L · 63-57W · 83-66
Dike Napoli W
L · 58-61W · 0-20W · 45-53W · 56-51W · 51-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.01.26 | Umbertide W | 64 : 66 | Dike Napoli W |
| 2014.10.23 | Dike Napoli W | 58 : 72 | Umbertide W |