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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 17
Orvieto WHOME · -
59 : 752015.01.26 · 종료
Venezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Orvieto WAnalysis MetricsVenezia W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-10.67 Point MarginHigher is better +17.58
127.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.75
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
27.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
72.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orvieto W
L · 66-50W · 65-59L · 66-70L · 72-59W · 91-64
Venezia W
W · 53-73W · 75-62L · 51-58L · 80-77W · 73-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.26Orvieto W59 : 75Venezia W
2014.10.23Venezia W76 : 50Orvieto W