Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 16
Lucca WHOME · -
66 : 502015.01.19 · 종료
Orvieto WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Lucca WAnalysis MetricsOrvieto W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.67
130.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
128.83
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lucca W
L · 92-59W · 46-72L · 72-64W · 63-57L · 56-54
Orvieto W
W · 65-59L · 66-70L · 72-59W · 91-64L · 57-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.01.19 | Lucca W | 66 : 50 | Orvieto W |
| 2014.10.20 | Orvieto W | 63 : 75 | Lucca W |