Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 16
Venezia WHOME · -
75 : 622015.01.19 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Venezia WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+17.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
144.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venezia W
L · 51-58L · 80-77W · 73-97W · 72-64L · 72-65
Umbertide W
W · 58-71W · 72-59L · 63-57W · 83-66W · 58-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.12 | Venezia W | 60 : 40 | Umbertide W |
| 2015.04.09 | Umbertide W | 67 : 61 | Venezia W |
| 2015.04.04 | Venezia W | 87 : 51 | Umbertide W |
| 2015.01.19 | Venezia W | 75 : 62 | Umbertide W |
| 2014.10.20 | Umbertide W | 65 : 71 | Venezia W |
| 2011.04.07 | Venezia W | 58 : 71 | Umbertide W |
| 2011.04.04 | Umbertide W | 60 : 53 | Venezia W |
| 2011.01.17 | Venezia W | 54 : 65 | Umbertide W |
| 2010.10.25 | Umbertide W | 70 : 58 | Venezia W |