Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 16
Vigarano WHOME · -
80 : 702015.01.19 · 종료
Parma WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.8%
VALUE EDGE+55.8%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsParma W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.33
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
W · 82-88L · 59-76W · 72-92W · 80-59L · 91-70
Parma W
L · 62-70L · 46-72L · 85-61L · 51-60W · 57-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.01.19 | Vigarano W | 80 : 70 | Parma W |
| 2014.10.20 | Parma W | 76 : 69 | Vigarano W |