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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 15
Schio WHOME · -
92 : 592015.01.12 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.8%
VALUE EDGE+77.8%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Schio WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+25.00 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.75
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Schio W
W · 59-76L · 56-51W · 67-60L · 83-66W · 93-45
Lucca W
W · 46-72L · 72-64W · 63-57L · 56-54W · 51-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.27Schio W96 : 68Lucca W
2015.01.12Schio W92 : 59Lucca W
2014.10.12Lucca W35 : 65Schio W
2011.01.24Lucca W61 : 80Schio W
2010.11.01Schio W79 : 46Lucca W