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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 15
Orvieto WHOME · -
65 : 592015.01.12 · 종료
Triestina WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.7%
VALUE EDGE+71.7%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Orvieto WAnalysis MetricsTriestina W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-12.50 Point MarginHigher is better -31.00
128.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 136.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orvieto W
L · 66-70L · 72-59W · 91-64L · 57-64L · 93-45
Triestina W
L · 58-71L · 53-91L · 80-59L · 54-91L · 83-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.12Orvieto W65 : 59Triestina W
2014.10.12Triestina W79 : 66Orvieto W