Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 14

Parma WHOME · -

46 : 722015.01.07 · 종료

Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.1%

VALUE EDGE+67.1%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEA

Parma WAnalysis MetricsLucca W

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-8.00 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08

133.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.5 / 15

Prediction separation14.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Parma W

L · 85-61L · 51-60W · 57-64L · 58-72L · 56-85

Lucca W

L · 72-64W · 63-57L · 56-54W · 51-55L · 58-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.01.07	Parma W	46 : 72	Lucca W
2014.10.05	Parma W	59 : 72	Lucca W
2011.03.07	Lucca W	55 : 61	Parma W
2010.12.20	Parma W	68 : 81	Lucca W