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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 14
Triestina WHOME · -
58 : 712015.01.07 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.5%
VALUE EDGE+76.5%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Triestina WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-30.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25
135.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
76.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Triestina W
L · 53-91L · 80-59L · 54-91L · 83-54L · 71-83
Umbertide W
W · 72-59L · 63-57W · 83-66W · 58-72W · 64-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.07Triestina W58 : 71Umbertide W
2014.10.04Umbertide W70 : 53Triestina W