Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 13

Venezia WHOME · -
72 : 642014.12.21 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Venezia WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+17.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
144.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venezia W
L · 72-65L · 51-56L · 60-46W · 54-91W · 82-49
Lucca W
W · 63-57L · 56-54W · 51-55L · 58-60W · 69-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.29 | Lucca W | 51 : 62 | Venezia W |
| 2014.12.21 | Venezia W | 72 : 64 | Lucca W |
| 2011.02.28 | Venezia W | 55 : 52 | Lucca W |
| 2010.12.13 | Lucca W | 52 : 53 | Venezia W |