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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 13
Venezia WHOME · -
72 : 642014.12.21 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Venezia WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+17.58 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
144.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venezia W
L · 72-65L · 51-56L · 60-46W · 54-91W · 82-49
Lucca W
W · 63-57L · 56-54W · 51-55L · 58-60W · 69-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.29Lucca W51 : 62Venezia W
2014.12.21Venezia W72 : 64Lucca W
2011.02.28Venezia W55 : 52Lucca W
2010.12.13Lucca W52 : 53Venezia W