Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 13
San Martino WHOME · -
85 : 612014.12.21 · 종료
Parma WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEB
San Martino WAnalysis MetricsParma W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.17
137.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
131.17
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martino W
L · 67-60W · 91-70L · 70-67L · 52-96W · 58-60
Parma W
L · 51-60W · 57-64L · 58-72L · 56-85L · 81-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.29 | Parma W | 62 : 72 | San Martino W |
| 2014.12.21 | San Martino W | 85 : 61 | Parma W |