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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 12
Parma WHOME · -
51 : 602014.12.15 · 종료
Dike Napoli WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Parma WAnalysis MetricsDike Napoli W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-9.42 Point MarginHigher is better +4.50
134.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 117.33
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parma W
W · 57-64L · 58-72L · 56-85L · 81-62L · 63-77
Dike Napoli W
W · 56-54L · 75-59W · 83-54W · 61-60L · 56-46

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.26Dike Napoli W57 : 65Parma W
2014.12.15Parma W51 : 60Dike Napoli W