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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 11
Umbertide WHOME · -
83 : 662014.12.08 · 종료
Schio WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADES
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsSchio W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +25.00
127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
76.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
W · 58-72W · 64-55W · 50-63L · 56-72W · 69-88
Schio W
W · 93-45W · 56-85L · 73-71W · 89-75W · 48-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.03.23Schio W67 : 30Umbertide W
2014.12.08Umbertide W83 : 66Schio W
2011.04.19Schio W67 : 63Umbertide W
2011.04.17Schio W62 : 42Umbertide W
2011.04.14Umbertide W64 : 75Schio W
2011.03.21Umbertide W56 : 67Schio W
2011.01.07Schio W67 : 60Umbertide W