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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 11
Dike Napoli WHOME · -
56 : 542014.12.08 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Dike Napoli WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
117.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.75
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dike Napoli W
L · 75-59W · 83-54W · 61-60L · 56-46L · 62-57
Lucca W
W · 51-55L · 58-60W · 69-85W · 71-75L · 45-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.12.08Dike Napoli W56 : 54Lucca W