Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 9
Cagliari WHOME · -
51 : 552014.11.24 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
126.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.75
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
W · 71-83L · 89-75L · 69-88W · 64-68W · 71-66
Lucca W
L · 58-60W · 69-85W · 71-75L · 45-72W · 75-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.09 | Lucca W | 75 : 55 | Cagliari W |
| 2014.11.24 | Cagliari W | 51 : 55 | Lucca W |