Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 9
Orvieto WHOME · -
59 : 632014.11.24 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.5%
VALUE EDGE+66.5%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
Orvieto WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-10.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
127.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.17
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orvieto W
L · 70-59L · 77-55W · 62-57L · 76-50L · 63-75
Vigarano W
L · 50-63L · 69-85L · 79-57L · 98-63L · 76-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.09 | Vigarano W | 70 : 72 | Orvieto W |
| 2014.11.24 | Orvieto W | 59 : 63 | Vigarano W |