Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 8
Lucca WHOME · -
58 : 602014.11.17 · 종료
San Martino WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEB
Lucca WAnalysis MetricsSan Martino W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.42
130.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lucca W
W · 69-85W · 71-75L · 45-72W · 75-72W · 63-75
San Martino W
W · 77-55W · 66-71L · 71-66W · 84-55W · 59-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.02 | San Martino W | 66 : 61 | Lucca W |
| 2014.11.17 | Lucca W | 58 : 60 | San Martino W |