Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 7
Vigarano WHOME · -
69 : 852014.11.10 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.9%
VALUE EDGE+69.9%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEB
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
L · 79-57L · 98-63L · 76-69L · 86-98L · 94-60
Lucca W
W · 71-75L · 45-72W · 75-72W · 63-75L · 35-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.15 | Lucca W | 79 : 58 | Vigarano W |
| 2014.11.10 | Vigarano W | 69 : 85 | Lucca W |