Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 6
San Martino WHOME · -
77 : 552014.11.03 · 종료
Orvieto WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.2%
VALUE EDGE+79.2%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
San Martino WAnalysis MetricsOrvieto W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.92
137.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martino W
W · 66-71L · 71-66W · 84-55W · 59-69
Orvieto W
W · 62-57L · 76-50L · 63-75L · 79-66L · 47-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.02.09 | Orvieto W | 58 : 72 | San Martino W |
| 2014.11.03 | San Martino W | 77 : 55 | Orvieto W |