Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 6

Cagliari WHOME · -

69 : 882014.11.03 · 종료

Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.1%

VALUE EDGE+60.1%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADEB

Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-5.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

126.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.6 / 15

Prediction separation8.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Cagliari W

W · 64-68W · 71-66W · 55-63L · 72-75

Umbertide W

L · 66-71W · 58-72L · 65-71W · 70-53L · 67-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.15	Umbertide W	61 : 59	Cagliari W
2022.10.08	Cagliari W	41 : 65	Umbertide W
2022.02.13	Umbertide W	78 : 62	Cagliari W
2021.10.30	Cagliari W	46 : 53	Umbertide W
2015.02.09	Umbertide W	71 : 54	Cagliari W
2014.11.03	Cagliari W	69 : 88	Umbertide W