Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 5

Lucca WHOME · -

45 : 722014.10.27 · 종료

Ragusa WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY73.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +73.4%

VALUE EDGE+73.4%

FAIR ODDS1.36

GRADEB

Lucca WAnalysis MetricsRagusa W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-3.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.17

130.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

26.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

73.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Lucca W

W · 75-72W · 63-75L · 35-65W · 59-72W · 55-52

Ragusa W

W · 98-63W · 68-79W · 77-43W · 47-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.03.25	Ragusa W	67 : 71	Lucca W
2015.04.09	Lucca W	45 : 69	Ragusa W
2015.04.04	Ragusa W	54 : 46	Lucca W
2015.02.02	Ragusa W	67 : 51	Lucca W
2014.10.27	Lucca W	45 : 72	Ragusa W