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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A1 W Italy · 5
Parma WHOME · -
64 : 682014.10.27 · 종료
Cagliari WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEB
Parma WAnalysis MetricsCagliari W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-9.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.25
134.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.25
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parma W
W · 57-62W · 76-69L · 77-43L · 59-72W · 59-61
Cagliari W
W · 71-66W · 55-63L · 72-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.02Cagliari W69 : 54Parma W
2014.10.27Parma W64 : 68Cagliari W