Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 3
Orvieto WHOME · -
63 : 752014.10.20 · 종료
Lucca WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Orvieto WAnalysis MetricsLucca W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-10.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
127.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
130.75
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orvieto W
L · 79-66L · 47-80
Lucca W
L · 35-65W · 59-72W · 55-52L · 66-54W · 60-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.01.19 | Lucca W | 66 : 50 | Orvieto W |
| 2014.10.20 | Orvieto W | 63 : 75 | Lucca W |