Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A1 W
Italy · 3
Parma WHOME · -
76 : 692014.10.20 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Parma WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-9.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
134.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parma W
L · 77-43L · 59-72W · 59-61W · 75-62L · 71-59
Vigarano W
L · 86-98L · 94-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.01.19 | Vigarano W | 80 : 70 | Parma W |
| 2014.10.20 | Parma W | 76 : 69 | Vigarano W |