Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A1 W Italy · 1

Parma WHOME · -

59 : 722014.10.05 · 종료

Lucca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.2%

VALUE EDGE+58.2%

FAIR ODDS1.72

GRADEB

Parma WAnalysis MetricsLucca W

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-9.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08

134.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.1 / 15

Prediction separation7.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Parma W

W · 59-61W · 75-62L · 71-59L · 45-56W · 55-61

Lucca W

W · 55-52L · 66-54W · 60-52W · 66-49W · 50-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.01.07	Parma W	46 : 72	Lucca W
2014.10.05	Parma W	59 : 72	Lucca W
2011.03.07	Lucca W	55 : 61	Parma W
2010.12.20	Parma W	68 : 81	Lucca W