경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

VHL Russia

HK NorilskHOME · 2.36

0 : 32026.09.05 · 종료

Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · 1.59

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW58 / 100

아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

Goal Differential · 실점 억제 · 최근 폼 · 홈빙상

DATA QUALITY 60/100

AI PICK HOME 56.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +17.0%

VALUE EDGE+17.0%

FAIR ODDS1.75

GRADEC

HK Norilsk분석 지표Metallurg Novokuznetsk

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

+0.50 Goal Differential높을수록 유리 +0.42

2.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

1.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

58/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지12.1 / 20

시장/배당13.2 / 15

최근 전력8.8 / 10

과거 표본5.8 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도6.2 / 15

데이터 신선도5.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.7 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승52.8%표본 53경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승60.0%표본 5경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승66.7%현재 이동 -19.6%

OPEN → NOW2.94 → 2.36배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 17:14:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

57.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

HK Norilsk

W · 3-0

Metallurg Novokuznetsk

W · 0-2L · 4-1L · 2-0W · 5-2L · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.12

→

CURRENT2.39

-23.40%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW37 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.79

→

CURRENT3.79

+0.00%UNCHANGED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.45

→

CURRENT1.58

+8.97%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 05:33:44	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 05:43:45	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 05:53:45	2.88	-	1.38
2026-09-05 05:53:46	3.20	3.79	1.47
2026-09-05 06:03:26	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 06:13:42	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 06:23:47	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 06:33:47	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 06:43:25	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 06:53:45	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 07:03:46	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 07:13:43	3.16	3.79	1.47
2026-09-05 07:13:44	2.99	-	1.39
2026-09-05 07:23:29	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 07:33:40	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 07:43:45	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 07:53:45	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:03:25	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:13:43	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:23:44	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:33:40	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:43:25	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 08:53:46	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:03:44	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:13:44	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:23:30	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:33:41	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:43:42	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 09:53:44	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:03:29	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:13:42	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:23:46	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:33:41	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:43:25	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 10:54:58	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 11:04:25	3.31	3.79	1.52
2026-09-05 11:04:26	2.94	-	1.39
2026-09-05 11:14:38	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 11:24:36	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 11:35:02	3.12	3.79	1.45
2026-09-05 11:44:38	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 11:54:33	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 12:04:17	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 12:14:04	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 12:23:59	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 12:34:20	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 12:43:57	2.26	-	1.59
2026-09-05 12:43:58	2.36	-	1.57
2026-09-05 12:54:56	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 13:04:43	2.26	-	1.59
2026-09-05 13:04:44	2.46	-	1.55
2026-09-05 13:15:10	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 13:24:24	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 13:34:04	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 13:43:27	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 13:54:41	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:03:50	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:14:15	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:24:30	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:34:06	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:43:27	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 14:55:09	2.26	-	1.59
2026-09-05 14:55:10	2.46	-	1.55
2026-09-05 15:05:13	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 15:14:47	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 15:23:33	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 15:33:25	2.33	-	1.58
2026-09-05 15:43:23	2.26	-	1.59
2026-09-05 15:43:24	2.46	-	1.55
2026-09-05 15:54:24	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 16:03:47	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 16:13:43	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 16:25:31	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 16:34:58	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 16:44:26	2.28	-	1.61
2026-09-05 16:44:27	2.39	-	1.58
2026-09-05 16:54:16	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 17:03:26	2.32	-	1.60
2026-09-05 17:14:01	2.28	-	1.61
2026-09-05 17:14:02	2.39	-	1.58

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	HK Norilsk	0 : 3	Metallurg Novokuznetsk