LIVE 26 오늘 1,098경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Segunda División Uruguay · 2nd Phase - 17
CerritoHOME · 2.00
1 : 22026.09.06 · 종료
PaysanduAWAY · 3.50
HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 29 · 21경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 25 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.3%
DRAW22.9%
AWAY14.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +17.1%
VALUE EDGE+17.1%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +29.2%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +36.4%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.2%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST AWAY -19.2%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Cerrito분석 지표Paysandu
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%
1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08
28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%
3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.8일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.0 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도12.1 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.3%표본 172경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -2.0%
OPEN → NOW2.04 → 2.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:23:35

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
62.3%
DRAW
22.9%
AWAY
14.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Cerrito
L · 0-2L · 2-1W · 3-0D · 1-1L · 1-0
Paysandu
W · 2-0D · 0-0L · 3-2L · 1-0W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%09/05 00:0209/05 09:2209/05 14:4209/05 18:4309/05 23:23HOME · 배당 2.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:02:14HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-09-05 04:42:09HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-09-05 05:22:10HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-09-05 06:02:08HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-09-05 06:42:09HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.37% · 2026-09-05 07:22:10HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 08:02:12HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 08:42:12HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 09:22:12HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 10:02:12HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 11:22:48HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +1.26% · 2026-09-05 12:02:36HOME · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.40% · 2026-09-05 12:02:37HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 12:42:33HOME · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 13:22:50HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 14:02:31HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 14:42:22HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 15:22:25HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 16:02:29HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 16:42:51HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 16:43:00HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 17:23:02HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.68% · 2026-09-05 18:02:19HOME · 배당 1.93 · 변동 -4.91% · 2026-09-05 18:43:42HOME · 배당 1.97 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-05 18:43:43HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.48% · 2026-09-05 19:23:10HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.48% · 2026-09-05 20:02:59HOME · 배당 1.93 · 변동 -4.91% · 2026-09-05 20:42:46HOME · 배당 1.97 · 변동 -2.52% · 2026-09-05 20:42:47HOME · 배당 1.95 · 변동 -3.48% · 2026-09-05 21:23:10HOME · 배당 1.98 · 변동 -2.44% · 2026-09-05 23:23:34HOME · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-09-05 23:23:35DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:02:14DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 04:42:09DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 05:22:10DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 06:02:08DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 06:42:09DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 07:22:10DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 08:02:12DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 08:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 09:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 10:02:12DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 11:22:48DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -6.02% · 2026-09-05 12:02:36DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.09% · 2026-09-05 12:02:37DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 12:42:33DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -1.13% · 2026-09-05 13:22:50DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 14:02:31DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 14:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 15:22:25DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 16:02:29DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 16:42:51DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 16:43:00DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 17:23:02DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-09-05 18:02:19DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-09-05 18:43:42DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +1.39% · 2026-09-05 18:43:43DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-09-05 19:23:10DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-09-05 20:02:59DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -2.11% · 2026-09-05 20:42:46DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 +1.39% · 2026-09-05 20:42:47DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 -0.01% · 2026-09-05 21:23:10DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -4.46% · 2026-09-05 23:23:34DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 23:23:35AWAY · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:02:14AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-05 04:42:09AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-05 05:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-05 06:02:08AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-05 06:42:09AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-05 07:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 08:02:12AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 08:42:12AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 09:22:12AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 10:02:12AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 11:22:48AWAY · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-05 12:02:36AWAY · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-09-05 12:02:37AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 12:42:33AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-05 13:22:50AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 14:02:31AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 14:42:22AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 15:22:25AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 16:02:29AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 16:42:51AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 16:43:00AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 17:23:02AWAY · 배당 3.54 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-09-05 18:02:19AWAY · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +6.65% · 2026-09-05 18:43:42AWAY · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-09-05 18:43:43AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +4.63% · 2026-09-05 19:23:10AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +4.63% · 2026-09-05 20:02:59AWAY · 배당 3.60 · 변동 +6.65% · 2026-09-05 20:42:46AWAY · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +3.29% · 2026-09-05 20:42:47AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +4.63% · 2026-09-05 21:23:10AWAY · 배당 3.45 · 변동 +2.21% · 2026-09-05 23:23:34AWAY · 배당 3.49 · 변동 +3.39% · 2026-09-05 23:23:35
HOME32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.02
→
CURRENT2.01
-0.71%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.19
→
CURRENT3.14
-1.64%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.38
→
CURRENT3.49
+3.39%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-05 00:02:142.023.193.38
2026-09-05 04:42:092.033.163.35
2026-09-05 05:22:102.033.163.35
2026-09-05 06:02:082.033.163.35
2026-09-05 06:42:092.033.163.35
2026-09-05 07:22:102.033.163.35
2026-09-05 08:02:122.043.163.35
2026-09-05 08:42:122.043.163.35
2026-09-05 09:22:122.043.163.35
2026-09-05 10:02:122.043.163.35
2026-09-05 11:22:482.043.163.35
2026-09-05 12:02:362.053.003.40
2026-09-05 12:02:372.033.203.33
2026-09-05 12:42:332.043.163.35
2026-09-05 13:22:502.043.163.35
2026-09-05 14:02:311.953.203.54
2026-09-05 14:42:221.953.203.54
2026-09-05 15:22:251.953.203.54
2026-09-05 16:02:291.953.203.54
2026-09-05 16:42:511.953.203.54
2026-09-05 16:43:001.953.203.54
2026-09-05 17:23:021.953.203.54
2026-09-05 18:02:191.953.203.54
2026-09-05 18:43:421.933.133.60
2026-09-05 18:43:431.973.243.49
2026-09-05 19:23:101.953.193.53
2026-09-05 20:02:591.953.193.53
2026-09-05 20:42:461.933.133.60
2026-09-05 20:42:471.973.243.49
2026-09-05 21:23:101.953.193.53
2026-09-05 23:23:341.983.053.45
2026-09-05 23:23:352.013.143.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.06Cerrito1 : 2Paysandu
2026.05.31Paysandu0 : 1Cerrito