경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

First Division Ireland · Regular Season - 32

Finn HarpsHOME · 3.62

0 : 12026.09.19 · 종료

Longford TownAWAY · 1.85

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 25 · 31경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 41 · 31경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME6.4%

DRAW10.6%

AWAY83.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 56.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +34.1%

VALUE EDGE+34.1%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -20.2%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -13.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -25.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -25.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Finn Harps분석 지표Longford Town

8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.25

2.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승17.7%표본 96경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.5%현재 이동 -6.6%

OPEN → NOW3.88 → 3.62배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

6.4%

DRAW

10.6%

AWAY

83.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Finn Harps

W · 1-3L · 0-1L · 5-4L · 1-3L · 5-0

Longford Town

L · 0-2L · 0-1D · 2-2W · 4-2L · 4-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.80

→

CURRENT3.59

-5.64%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.51

→

CURRENT3.45

-1.71%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.79

→

CURRENT1.84

+2.78%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 12:15:02	3.80	3.51	1.79
2026-09-18 00:02:03	3.80	3.51	1.79
2026-09-18 00:22:03	3.80	3.51	1.79
2026-09-18 00:42:03	3.80	3.51	1.79
2026-09-18 01:02:03	3.80	3.51	1.79
2026-09-18 01:22:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 01:42:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 02:02:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 02:22:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 02:42:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 03:02:02	3.80	3.53	1.79
2026-09-18 03:02:03	3.68	3.50	1.83
2026-09-18 03:22:02	3.80	3.50	1.80
2026-09-18 03:22:03	3.72	3.52	1.81
2026-09-18 03:42:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 04:02:02	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 04:22:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 04:42:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 05:02:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 05:22:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 05:42:02	3.80	3.53	1.79
2026-09-18 05:42:03	3.68	3.50	1.83
2026-09-18 06:02:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 06:22:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 06:42:03	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 07:02:02	3.74	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 07:22:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 07:42:02	3.85	3.45	1.80
2026-09-18 07:42:03	3.72	3.53	1.81
2026-09-18 08:02:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 08:22:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 08:42:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 09:02:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 09:22:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 09:42:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 10:02:03	3.75	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 10:22:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 10:42:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 11:02:02	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 11:22:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 11:42:02	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 12:02:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 12:22:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 12:42:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 13:02:03	3.76	3.51	1.81
2026-09-18 13:22:02	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 13:42:02	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 14:02:03	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 14:22:03	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 14:42:03	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 15:02:03	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 15:22:03	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 15:42:02	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 16:02:02	3.70	3.46	1.80
2026-09-18 16:22:03	3.63	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 16:22:04	3.64	3.47	1.81
2026-09-18 16:42:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 17:02:04	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 17:22:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 17:42:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 18:02:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 18:22:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 18:42:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 19:02:02	3.59	3.44	1.82
2026-09-18 19:02:03	3.82	3.59	1.80
2026-09-18 19:22:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 19:42:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 20:02:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 20:22:03	3.63	3.49	1.81
2026-09-18 20:22:04	3.65	3.43	1.83
2026-09-18 20:42:04	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 21:02:02	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 21:22:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 21:42:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 22:02:03	3.64	3.47	1.82
2026-09-18 22:22:03	3.59	3.45	1.84
2026-09-18 22:42:04	3.59	3.45	1.84
2026-09-18 23:02:03	3.59	3.45	1.84
2026-09-18 23:22:02	3.59	3.45	1.84
2026-09-18 23:42:07	3.59	3.45	1.84

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.19	Finn Harps	0 : 1	Longford Town
2026.08.04	Longford Town	5 : 0	Finn Harps
2026.05.23	Finn Harps	2 : 2	Longford Town
2026.03.29	Longford Town	0 : 1	Finn Harps