경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

First Division Ireland · Regular Season - 30

Longford TownHOME · 2.39

0 : 12026.09.06 · 종료

KerryAWAY · 2.52

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 41 · 29경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 39 · 29경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.1%

DRAW18.7%

AWAY13.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +30.4%

VALUE EDGE+30.4%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +47.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +47.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +7.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Longford Town분석 지표Kerry

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

8.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME37.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승42.6%표본 209경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.6%현재 이동 +4.6%

OPEN → NOW2.29 → 2.39배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:57:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

68.1%

DRAW

18.7%

AWAY

13.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Longford Town

D · 2-2W · 4-2L · 4-0L · 2-1W · 5-0

Kerry

W · 3-1D · 1-1L · 4-0L · 3-1W · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.41

→

CURRENT2.39

-0.76%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.37

→

CURRENT3.37

+0.20%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.50

→

CURRENT2.52

+1.07%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 15:32:03	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 15:37:03	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 15:47:02	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 15:57:04	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:07:03	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:12:03	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:17:06	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:27:08	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:37:06	2.41	3.37	2.50
2026-09-05 16:47:05	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 16:52:04	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 16:57:04	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 17:07:05	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 17:17:07	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 17:27:08	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 17:27:09	2.37	3.34	2.52
2026-09-05 17:32:07	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 17:32:08	2.37	3.34	2.52
2026-09-05 17:37:07	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 17:47:06	2.43	3.40	2.50
2026-09-05 17:47:07	2.38	3.35	2.52
2026-09-05 17:57:04	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 18:07:03	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 18:12:05	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 18:17:09	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 18:27:09	2.40	3.30	2.50
2026-09-05 18:27:10	2.39	3.38	2.52
2026-09-05 18:37:08	2.40	3.30	2.50
2026-09-05 18:37:09	2.39	3.38	2.52
2026-09-05 18:47:08	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 18:52:07	2.43	3.40	2.50
2026-09-05 18:52:08	2.38	3.35	2.52
2026-09-05 18:57:08	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 18:57:09	2.37	3.34	2.52
2026-09-05 19:07:06	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 19:17:06	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 19:27:07	2.39	3.37	2.51
2026-09-05 19:27:08	2.39	3.38	2.53
2026-09-05 19:32:05	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 19:37:06	2.43	3.40	2.50
2026-09-05 19:37:07	2.38	3.35	2.52
2026-09-05 19:47:07	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 19:57:06	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 19:57:07	2.38	3.35	2.52
2026-09-05 20:07:05	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:12:04	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:17:03	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:27:05	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:37:05	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:47:09	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 20:52:05	2.40	3.30	2.50
2026-09-05 20:52:06	2.39	3.39	2.52
2026-09-05 20:57:06	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:07:07	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:17:08	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:27:04	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:32:03	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:37:03	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:47:02	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 21:57:06	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:07:06	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:12:03	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:17:05	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 22:17:06	2.38	3.35	2.52
2026-09-05 22:27:08	2.43	3.40	2.50
2026-09-05 22:27:09	2.38	3.36	2.52
2026-09-05 22:37:06	2.40	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:47:07	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:52:06	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 22:52:07	2.38	3.38	2.54
2026-09-05 22:57:09	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:07:04	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:17:07	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:27:06	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:32:06	2.41	3.39	2.51
2026-09-05 23:32:07	2.37	3.35	2.53
2026-09-05 23:37:05	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:37:06	2.38	3.38	2.54
2026-09-05 23:47:07	2.39	3.37	2.52
2026-09-05 23:57:05	2.39	3.37	2.52

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Longford Town	0 : 1	Kerry
2026.06.27	Kerry	2 : 1	Longford Town
2026.04.26	Longford Town	1 : 0	Kerry
2026.02.28	Kerry	1 : 1	Longford Town