경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier Division Ireland · Regular Season - 30

WaterfordHOME · 2.65

2 : 22026.09.15 · 종료

Derry CityAWAY · 2.40

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 33 · 30경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 37 · 30경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.9%

DRAW18.6%

AWAY16.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +29.9%

VALUE EDGE+29.9%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +37.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -13.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Waterford분석 지표Derry City

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

0.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

71.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승27.6%표본 170경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -1.1%

OPEN → NOW2.68 → 2.65배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

64.9%

DRAW

18.6%

AWAY

16.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Waterford

D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 0-2D · 0-0W · 2-1

Derry City

W · 0-1W · 4-2D · 3-3L · 5-3W · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.66

→

CURRENT2.66

+0.17%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.52

→

CURRENT3.48

-1.23%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.41

→

CURRENT2.39

-0.49%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 13:52:05	2.66	3.52	2.41
2026-09-14 14:02:05	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 14:12:03	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 14:22:05	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 14:32:06	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 14:42:04	2.67	3.46	2.37
2026-09-14 14:42:05	2.64	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 14:52:05	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 14:52:06	2.66	3.48	2.38
2026-09-14 15:02:06	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 15:12:03	2.65	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 15:22:05	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 15:22:06	2.67	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 15:32:06	2.67	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 15:32:07	2.65	3.43	2.39
2026-09-14 15:42:03	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 15:42:04	2.67	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 15:52:05	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 16:02:04	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 16:02:05	2.67	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 16:12:03	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 16:22:05	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 16:32:06	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 16:42:02	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 16:52:05	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 17:02:04	2.64	3.45	2.39
2026-09-14 17:02:05	2.67	3.49	2.39
2026-09-14 17:12:04	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 17:22:04	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 17:22:05	2.67	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 17:32:06	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 17:42:02	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 17:52:04	2.66	3.46	2.38
2026-09-14 17:52:05	2.66	3.52	2.41
2026-09-14 18:02:04	2.67	3.46	2.37
2026-09-14 18:02:05	2.66	3.49	2.40
2026-09-14 18:12:04	2.66	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 18:22:06	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 18:22:07	2.68	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 18:32:09	2.67	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 18:32:10	2.65	3.43	2.39
2026-09-14 18:42:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 18:52:05	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 19:02:06	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 19:12:04	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 19:22:06	2.67	3.47	2.39
2026-09-14 19:22:07	2.65	3.50	2.40
2026-09-14 19:32:08	2.66	3.45	2.37
2026-09-14 19:32:09	2.67	3.51	2.41
2026-09-14 19:42:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 19:52:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 20:02:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 20:12:02	2.62	3.40	2.38
2026-09-14 20:12:03	2.68	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 20:22:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 20:32:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 20:42:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 20:52:02	2.67	3.50	2.39
2026-09-14 20:52:03	2.65	3.43	2.39
2026-09-14 21:02:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 21:12:02	2.66	3.45	2.37
2026-09-14 21:12:03	2.67	3.51	2.41
2026-09-14 21:22:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 21:32:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 21:42:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 21:52:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 22:02:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 22:12:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 22:22:05	2.67	3.46	2.39
2026-09-14 22:22:06	2.66	3.52	2.41
2026-09-14 22:32:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 22:42:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 22:52:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 23:02:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 23:12:02	2.67	3.50	2.40
2026-09-14 23:12:03	2.65	3.43	2.39
2026-09-14 23:22:02	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 23:32:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 23:42:03	2.66	3.48	2.39
2026-09-14 23:52:02	2.66	3.48	2.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Waterford	2 : 2	Derry City
2026.07.04	Derry City	2 : 4	Waterford
2026.05.16	Waterford	2 : 2	Derry City
2026.02.28	Derry City	4 : 2	Waterford