경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier Division Ireland · Regular Season - 31

ShelbourneHOME · 2.30

0 : 12026.09.12 · 종료

Derry CityAWAY · 2.91

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 36 · 28경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 34 · 29경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.9%

DRAW21.8%

AWAY32.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +5.3%

VALUE EDGE+5.3%

FAIR ODDS2.18

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 75/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +18.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +4.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Shelbourne분석 지표Derry City

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.6 / 15

예측 분리도5.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승38.4%표본 164경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.2%

OPEN → NOW2.30 → 2.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

45.9%

DRAW

21.8%

AWAY

32.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Shelbourne

D · 0-0D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 1-2L · 3-1

Derry City

W · 4-2D · 3-3L · 5-3W · 1-2W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.32

→

CURRENT2.29

-1.02%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.30

→

CURRENT3.41

+3.18%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.88

→

CURRENT2.91

+1.02%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 00:15:02	2.32	3.30	2.88
2026-09-10 12:15:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 00:02:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 00:22:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 00:42:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 01:02:03	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 01:22:03	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 01:42:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 02:02:03	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 02:22:02	2.31	3.29	2.89
2026-09-11 02:42:02	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 03:02:02	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 03:22:02	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 03:42:03	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 04:02:02	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 04:22:03	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 04:42:02	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 05:02:03	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 05:22:03	2.31	3.29	2.90
2026-09-11 05:42:02	2.31	3.31	2.89
2026-09-11 05:42:03	2.31	3.28	2.92
2026-09-11 06:02:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 06:22:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 06:42:02	2.31	3.30	2.92
2026-09-11 06:42:03	2.31	3.30	2.89
2026-09-11 07:02:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 07:22:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 07:42:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 08:02:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 08:22:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 08:42:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 09:02:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 09:22:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 09:42:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 10:02:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 10:22:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 10:42:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 11:02:02	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 11:22:03	2.31	3.30	2.90
2026-09-11 11:42:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 12:02:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 12:22:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 12:42:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 13:02:01	2.30	3.33	2.92
2026-09-11 13:02:02	2.33	3.38	2.93
2026-09-11 13:22:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 13:42:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 14:02:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 14:22:02	2.31	3.34	2.92
2026-09-11 14:42:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 15:02:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 15:22:03	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 15:42:03	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 16:02:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 16:22:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 16:42:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 17:02:02	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 17:22:03	2.30	3.34	2.94
2026-09-11 17:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 18:02:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 18:22:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 18:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 19:02:01	2.28	3.35	2.92
2026-09-11 19:02:02	2.29	3.49	2.91
2026-09-11 19:22:03	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 19:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 20:02:01	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 20:22:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 20:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 21:02:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 21:22:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 21:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 22:02:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 22:22:01	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 22:42:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 23:02:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 23:22:02	2.29	3.42	2.92
2026-09-11 23:42:02	2.29	3.41	2.91

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Shelbourne	0 : 1	Derry City
2026.05.26	Derry City	0 : 0	Shelbourne
2026.04.18	Shelbourne	1 : 2	Derry City
2026.03.14	Derry City	1 : 2	Shelbourne