경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier Division Ireland · Regular Season - 31

WaterfordHOME · 2.35

1 : 12026.09.12 · 종료

DundalkAWAY · 2.72

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 32 · 29경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 40 · 29경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%

DRAW19.2%

AWAY23.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +18.0%

VALUE EDGE+18.0%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +32.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -18.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +2.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Waterford분석 지표Dundalk

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08

71.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도14.8 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME39.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승39.7%표본 229경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.7%현재 이동 -4.5%

OPEN → NOW2.46 → 2.35배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

57.6%

DRAW

19.2%

AWAY

23.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Waterford

W · 3-0W · 0-2D · 0-0W · 2-1W · 3-1

Dundalk

L · 4-2W · 2-3L · 1-2W · 8-0L · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.46

→

CURRENT2.33

-5.07%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.59

→

CURRENT3.56

-0.69%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.51

→

CURRENT2.72

+8.26%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 00:15:02	2.46	3.59	2.51
2026-09-10 00:15:03	2.44	3.52	2.52
2026-09-10 12:15:02	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 00:02:02	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 00:22:03	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 00:42:02	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 01:02:03	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 01:22:03	2.38	3.53	2.57
2026-09-11 01:22:04	2.37	3.57	2.62
2026-09-11 01:42:03	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 02:02:03	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 02:22:03	2.38	3.56	2.61
2026-09-11 02:42:02	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 03:02:03	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 03:22:03	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 03:42:03	2.37	3.58	2.60
2026-09-11 03:42:04	2.36	3.54	2.68
2026-09-11 04:02:02	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 04:22:03	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 04:42:02	2.39	3.61	2.61
2026-09-11 04:42:03	2.33	3.50	2.65
2026-09-11 05:02:03	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 05:22:03	2.36	3.56	2.63
2026-09-11 05:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 06:02:02	2.42	3.57	2.57
2026-09-11 06:02:03	2.37	3.59	2.64
2026-09-11 06:22:02	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 06:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 07:02:02	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 07:22:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 07:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 08:02:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 08:22:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 08:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 09:02:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 09:22:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 09:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 10:02:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 10:22:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 10:42:03	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 11:02:02	2.38	3.58	2.62
2026-09-11 11:22:03	2.45	3.60	2.56
2026-09-11 11:22:04	2.37	3.58	2.64
2026-09-11 11:42:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 12:02:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 12:22:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 12:42:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 13:02:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 13:22:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 13:42:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 14:02:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 14:22:02	2.38	3.60	2.65
2026-09-11 14:42:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 15:02:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 15:22:03	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 15:42:03	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 16:02:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 16:22:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 16:42:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 17:02:02	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 17:22:03	2.39	3.58	2.63
2026-09-11 17:42:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 18:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 18:22:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 18:42:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 19:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 19:22:03	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 19:42:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 20:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 20:22:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 20:42:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 21:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 21:22:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 21:42:03	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 22:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 22:22:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 22:42:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 23:02:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 23:22:02	2.38	3.47	2.70
2026-09-11 23:42:02	2.33	3.56	2.72

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.12	Waterford	1 : 1	Dundalk
2026.06.27	Dundalk	2 : 3	Waterford
2026.05.05	Waterford	3 : 3	Dundalk
2026.03.14	Dundalk	5 : 0	Waterford