경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Division Profesional - Clausura Paraguay · Clausura - 11

Nacional AsuncionHOME · 1.67

3 : 02026.09.19 · 종료

2 de MayoAWAY · 5.05

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 18 · 10경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 21 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.5%

DRAW22.0%

AWAY12.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 45.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +10.6%

VALUE EDGE+10.6%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +13.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -6.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +7.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Nacional Asuncion분석 지표2 de Mayo

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 71.4%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승56.7%표본 97경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -7.5%

OPEN → NOW1.81 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.5%

DRAW

22.0%

AWAY

12.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nacional Asuncion

W · 0-1L · 1-0W · 3-0W · 0-3W · 2-0

2 de Mayo

L · 0-2W · 1-2D · 2-2W · 0-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.77

→

CURRENT1.66

-6.03%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.24

→

CURRENT3.39

+4.59%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.67

→

CURRENT5.09

+8.94%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-18 01:42:34	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 02:02:33	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 02:22:34	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 02:42:33	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 02:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 03:02:34	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 03:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 03:22:32	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 03:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 03:52:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 04:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 04:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 04:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 05:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 05:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 05:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 06:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 06:32:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 06:52:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 07:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 07:32:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 07:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 08:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 08:32:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 08:52:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 09:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 09:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 09:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 10:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 10:32:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 10:32:08	1.80	3.10	4.75
2026-09-18 10:32:09	1.77	3.26	4.65
2026-09-18 10:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 10:52:08	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 11:12:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 11:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 11:32:06	1.77	3.24	4.67
2026-09-18 11:32:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 11:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 12:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 12:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 12:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 13:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 13:32:06	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 13:52:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 14:12:07	1.76	3.19	4.56
2026-09-18 14:12:08	1.78	3.30	4.76
2026-09-18 14:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 14:52:09	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 15:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 15:32:08	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 15:52:09	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 16:12:07	1.77	3.24	4.66
2026-09-18 16:32:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 16:52:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 17:12:07	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 17:32:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 17:52:09	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 18:12:07	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 18:32:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 18:52:09	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 19:12:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 19:32:08	1.78	3.19	4.58
2026-09-18 19:32:09	1.83	3.30	4.45
2026-09-18 19:52:09	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 20:12:07	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 20:32:10	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 20:52:13	1.76	3.18	4.55
2026-09-18 20:52:14	1.80	3.22	4.58
2026-09-18 21:12:07	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 21:32:07	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 21:52:08	1.79	3.20	4.56
2026-09-18 22:12:07	1.78	3.19	4.58
2026-09-18 22:12:08	1.83	3.30	4.45
2026-09-18 22:32:33	1.65	3.40	5.00
2026-09-18 22:32:34	1.67	3.39	5.11
2026-09-18 22:52:13	1.66	3.39	5.09
2026-09-18 23:12:08	1.66	3.39	5.09
2026-09-18 23:32:11	1.66	3.39	5.09
2026-09-18 23:52:10	1.66	3.39	5.09

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.19	Nacional Asuncion	3 : 0	2 de Mayo
2026.04.01	2 de Mayo	1 : 1	Nacional Asuncion
2026.02.01	Nacional Asuncion	5 : 1	2 de Mayo