경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Division Profesional - Clausura Paraguay · Clausura - 9

Cerro PortenoHOME · 2.30

1 : 02026.09.08 · 종료

Nacional AsuncionAWAY · 3.25

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 10 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 15 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.1%

DRAW35.2%

AWAY19.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +4.8%

VALUE EDGE+4.8%

FAIR ODDS2.22

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 82/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +5.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -14.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +2.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Cerro Porteno분석 지표Nacional Asuncion

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.0 / 15

예측 분리도4.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승40.0%표본 60경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.3%현재 이동 -8.0%

OPEN → NOW2.50 → 2.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:27

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

45.1%

DRAW

35.2%

AWAY

19.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cerro Porteno

W · 1-3D · 1-1W · 0-1L · 2-1L · 0-1

Nacional Asuncion

W · 3-0W · 0-3W · 2-0W · 0-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.35

→

CURRENT2.30

-2.02%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.88

→

CURRENT2.94

+2.34%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.17

→

CURRENT3.23

+1.96%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 12:32:14	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 12:42:14	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 12:52:18	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:02:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:12:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:22:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:32:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:42:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 13:52:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:02:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:12:15	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:22:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:32:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:42:15	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 14:52:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:02:18	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:12:15	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:22:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:32:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:42:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 15:52:19	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:02:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:12:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:22:18	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:32:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:42:15	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 16:52:18	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 17:02:17	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 17:12:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 17:22:16	2.33	2.85	3.05
2026-09-07 17:22:17	2.36	2.89	3.23
2026-09-07 17:32:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 17:42:16	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 17:52:18	2.35	2.88	3.17
2026-09-07 18:02:15	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 18:12:16	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 18:22:20	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 18:32:20	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 18:42:21	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 18:52:24	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:02:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:12:22	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:22:26	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:32:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:32:24	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:42:22	2.31	2.88	3.10
2026-09-07 19:42:23	2.35	2.89	3.21
2026-09-07 19:42:24	2.37	2.93	3.27
2026-09-07 19:52:24	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 19:52:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:02:21	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:02:22	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:12:22	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:12:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:22:24	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:22:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:32:22	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:32:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:42:22	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:42:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:52:24	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 20:52:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:02:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:12:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:22:27	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:32:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:42:25	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 21:52:28	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 22:02:23	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 22:12:26	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 22:22:28	2.34	2.89	3.18
2026-09-07 22:32:26	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 22:42:26	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 22:52:28	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:02:24	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:12:26	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:22:27	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:32:26	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:42:25	2.30	2.94	3.23
2026-09-07 23:52:27	2.30	2.94	3.23

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Cerro Porteno	1 : 0	Nacional Asuncion
2026.04.12	Nacional Asuncion	0 : 0	Cerro Porteno
2026.02.16	Cerro Porteno	0 : 2	Nacional Asuncion