경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Division Profesional - Clausura Paraguay · Clausura - 8

Nacional AsuncionHOME · 2.84

3 : 02026.09.03 · 종료

Libertad AsuncionAWAY · 2.50

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 12 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 16 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.9%

DRAW22.4%

AWAY12.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +32.3%

VALUE EDGE+32.3%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +40.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Nacional Asuncion분석 지표Libertad Asuncion

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

4.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME32.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승32.5%표본 80경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승36.4%현재 이동 +12.7%

OPEN → NOW2.52 → 2.84배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:42

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

64.9%

DRAW

22.4%

AWAY

12.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nacional Asuncion

W · 0-3W · 2-0W · 0-2D · 1-1D · 0-0

Libertad Asuncion

D · 1-1W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 1-2W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.49

→

CURRENT2.85

+14.42%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.02

→

CURRENT3.05

+1.13%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.79

→

CURRENT2.49

-10.73%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 10:52:47	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:02:38	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:12:31	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:22:42	2.50	3.00	2.80
2026-09-02 11:22:43	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:32:36	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:42:36	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 11:52:37	2.47	3.00	2.76
2026-09-02 11:52:38	2.51	3.03	2.81
2026-09-02 12:02:56	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 12:12:37	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 12:22:42	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 12:32:51	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 12:42:50	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 12:52:37	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 13:02:33	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 13:02:34	2.55	3.05	2.85
2026-09-02 13:12:41	2.48	3.01	2.76
2026-09-02 13:12:42	2.51	3.02	2.82
2026-09-02 13:22:48	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 13:33:17	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 13:42:42	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 13:52:39	2.47	3.00	2.76
2026-09-02 13:52:40	2.51	3.03	2.81
2026-09-02 14:02:39	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 14:12:35	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 14:22:46	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 14:32:38	2.48	3.01	2.78
2026-09-02 14:32:39	2.55	3.05	2.85
2026-09-02 14:42:31	2.49	3.02	2.78
2026-09-02 14:42:32	2.50	3.02	2.80
2026-09-02 14:52:36	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:02:33	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:12:31	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:22:36	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:32:31	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:42:32	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 15:52:38	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 16:02:35	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 16:12:31	2.46	2.96	2.76
2026-09-02 16:12:32	2.51	3.04	2.80
2026-09-02 16:22:36	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 16:32:33	2.49	3.02	2.79
2026-09-02 16:42:33	2.49	3.02	2.78
2026-09-02 16:42:34	2.50	3.02	2.80
2026-09-02 16:52:39	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:02:35	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:12:34	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:22:39	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:32:35	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:42:33	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 17:52:38	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 18:02:32	2.46	2.96	2.76
2026-09-02 18:02:33	2.50	3.07	2.80
2026-09-02 18:12:34	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 18:22:36	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 18:32:34	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 18:42:33	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 18:52:37	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 19:02:36	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 19:12:33	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 19:22:36	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 19:32:34	2.47	3.03	2.77
2026-09-02 19:32:35	2.54	3.07	2.85
2026-09-02 19:42:32	2.47	3.03	2.77
2026-09-02 19:42:33	2.54	3.07	2.85
2026-09-02 20:32:41	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 20:42:38	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 21:02:41	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 21:22:46	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 21:42:50	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 22:02:44	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 22:22:48	2.50	3.00	2.80
2026-09-02 22:22:49	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 22:42:47	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 23:02:43	2.48	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 23:02:44	2.55	3.05	2.85
2026-09-02 23:22:50	2.49	3.04	2.79
2026-09-02 23:42:41	2.74	3.00	2.49
2026-09-02 23:42:42	2.85	3.05	2.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.03	Nacional Asuncion	3 : 0	Libertad Asuncion
2026.05.25	Nacional Asuncion	2 : 1	Libertad Asuncion
2026.03.19	Libertad Asuncion	2 : 1	Nacional Asuncion