Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Final
Virtus BolognaHOME · -
76 : 842023.02.20 · 종료
BresciaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.8%
VALUE EDGE+66.8%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Virtus BolognaAnalysis MetricsBrescia
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.75
181.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Virtus Bologna
W · 90-65W · 82-68W · 80-67W · 73-83W · 83-77
Brescia
W · 74-57W · 72-75W · 103-84W · 66-74L · 72-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.10 | Brescia | 79 : 87 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2025.12.23 | Virtus Bologna | 86 : 76 | Brescia |
| 2025.06.18 | Brescia | 74 : 96 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2025.06.15 | Virtus Bologna | 75 : 65 | Brescia |
| 2025.06.13 | Virtus Bologna | 90 : 87 | Brescia |
| 2025.04.15 | Virtus Bologna | 91 : 79 | Brescia |
| 2024.12.02 | Brescia | 98 : 97 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2023.02.20 | Virtus Bologna | 76 : 84 | Brescia |