Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Semi-finals
BresciaHOME · -
74 : 572023.02.19 · 종료
PesaroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEB
BresciaAnalysis MetricsPesaro
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brescia
W · 72-75W · 103-84W · 66-74L · 72-85L · 79-72
Pesaro
W · 84-80L · 80-86L · 73-70W · 63-78W · 92-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.19 | Brescia | 74 : 57 | Pesaro |