Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
TortonaHOME · -
74 : 702023.02.17 · 종료
TrentoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.1%
VALUE EDGE+81.1%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
TortonaAnalysis MetricsTrento
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.50
167.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tortona
W · 70-88L · 67-68L · 67-79W · 75-88W · 74-70
Trento
L · 72-80L · 60-78L · 86-75L · 70-84L · 84-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.13 | Tortona | 103 : 84 | Trento |
| 2025.10.19 | Trento | 89 : 75 | Tortona |
| 2025.03.02 | Trento | 85 : 89 | Tortona |
| 2024.12.30 | Tortona | 91 : 77 | Trento |
| 2023.02.17 | Tortona | 74 : 70 | Trento |