Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
Virtus BolognaHOME · -
82 : 682023.02.17 · 종료
VeneziaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.1%
VALUE EDGE+67.1%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Virtus BolognaAnalysis MetricsVenezia
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.75
181.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.42
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Virtus Bologna
W · 80-67W · 73-83W · 83-77W · 75-67W · 68-90
Venezia
L · 87-84L · 77-73W · 95-90L · 86-79W · 89-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.12 | Venezia | 86 : 93 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2026.06.07 | Venezia | 90 : 83 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2026.06.05 | Venezia | 89 : 85 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2026.06.02 | Virtus Bologna | 98 : 79 | Venezia |
| 2026.05.31 | Virtus Bologna | 83 : 91 | Venezia |
| 2026.04.06 | Virtus Bologna | 82 : 86 | Venezia |
| 2026.01.12 | Venezia | 75 : 81 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2025.05.28 | Virtus Bologna | 86 : 84 | Venezia |
| 2025.05.26 | Venezia | 84 : 78 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2025.05.24 | Venezia | 89 : 82 | Virtus Bologna |