Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
PesaroHOME · -
84 : 802023.02.16 · 종료
VareseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM62 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.9%
VALUE EDGE+82.9%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
PesaroAnalysis MetricsVarese
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
164.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
62/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pesaro
L · 80-86L · 73-70W · 63-78W · 92-76L · 94-88
Varese
L · 78-53W · 85-77W · 61-74L · 82-88L · 78-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.16 | Pesaro | 84 : 80 | Varese |