Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Italian Cup
Italy · Italian Cup - Quarter-finals
Olimpia MilanoHOME · -
72 : 752023.02.16 · 종료
BresciaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Olimpia MilanoAnalysis MetricsBrescia
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.75
175.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpia Milano
L · 101-95L · 90-104L · 83-95L · 92-89W · 66-57
Brescia
W · 103-84W · 66-74L · 72-85L · 79-72W · 85-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.06 | Olimpia Milano | 91 : 86 | Brescia |
| 2026.06.04 | Olimpia Milano | 93 : 68 | Brescia |
| 2026.06.01 | Brescia | 85 : 79 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.05.30 | Brescia | 72 : 88 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2026.02.02 | Olimpia Milano | 81 : 90 | Brescia |
| 2025.11.06 | Brescia | 98 : 92 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2025.03.16 | Brescia | 73 : 79 | Olimpia Milano |
| 2024.10.14 | Olimpia Milano | 88 : 85 | Brescia |
| 2023.02.16 | Olimpia Milano | 72 : 75 | Brescia |